K-L Bill
Sunday, October 25, 2009
There is no doubt that every loan, all aid, and every financial commitment has some strings attached. No bank would lend money without certain conditions. So in a way the US has every right to attach some conditions to the bill. As a recipient country Pakistan will have to comply with the conditions. So there is no point in saying that the conditions are only binding on the US admin and Pakistan can go on its own merry way.
In principle, I agree with most of the known conditions. We don’t know if there are any unknown or hidden conditions that have caused so much consternation in the army. The other issue is that if these conditions apply only to the military aid then why are they tied with the civilian aid? Pakistan military had, in the past, on many occasions accepted conditional aid and since the conditions were not made public, the army had no problem with them.
Now we are dealing with the two issues here: why the US made such a huge diplomatic faux pas by making the conditions public, and secondly, has the Zardari admin again failed to correctly gauge the public and Army’s growing nationalism? Actually the hyper nationalism falsely channeled as Anti Americanism by the Pakistani media.
I think Zardari and his friends in the US are simply looking to provoke the army because they feel that they are secure due to the Obama Admin support.
How accurate is the assumption that the US would not allow the army to act against the civilians? I am not too sure about that. The Army can manage to sideline Zardari and his group with another set of civilians without flipping the cart upside down.
In my opinion, the path the Obama Admin and Zardari have chosen to confront the army is full of land-mines and in the end would actually hurt the civilian establishment.
Pakistan army’s connections with the Pentagon are well known and the army Generals issued statement only after meeting General McChrystal. Coincidently, McChrystal is a linchpin in another power struggle within the US establishment.
If Zardari really wants to confront the army, he has to appeal to the public and show his sincerity. Right now the hypothesis is that he is only fighting to keep his own and his party position and has no interest in continuing efforts to strengthen democracy in the country. That leaves him in a big hole and I think this current situation shows he is also under some false assumptions. This would actually cause many problems for the already fledgling efforts to restrict the army interference in the Pakistani affairs.
A bad and poorly thought out step and strategy by Zardari and his friends in the US who are clueless when it comes to dealing with the Pak army.


Monday, October 26, 2009 at 12:32
In my opinion, the days of military cooperation between GHQ and Pentagon are at the tail end.
Much of what is happening in Pakistan and Afghanistan is a reflection of a disconnect with the US. The Democrats, The Intelligence top brass, CIA and Pentagon are not on one page. Remote drone technology facilitates the civilians to act militarily into the domain of CENTCOM, perhaps not even caring to inform them. Then also take into account the role UK and its agencies are playing. They have to synchronize their efforts with one of the above.
All this brings Pakistan a step closer to a dangerous point. So far Zardari has taken no initiative in Balochistan nor on any of the immediate national issues. He with his men are too busy shoring up power, but at what cost?
It is very important for USA and in this charges and media aware social dimension, they win the hearts and mind. So far everything they have done has backfired.
Ascendancy of India are no go areas for both the armed forces and the people at large and a point has reached where India and US policies are seen through one eye.
Monday, October 26, 2009 at 3:45
It is very important for USA to take into the correct perspective, the deteriorating SOCIAL DIMENSION can have on the long term US interests in the region particularly in this charged and media aware environment.To win the hearts and minds, everything they have done cantankerously has backfired.